A Black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yetcauses massive consequences.
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book--itself a Black swan..
He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory.
Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, With wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell.
In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this Second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world.
For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do.
We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible.
We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don\'t know.
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of Black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities.
For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
The astonishing success of Google was a Black swan; so was 9/11.
A Black swan is a Highly improbable event With three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.
The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don\'t know, now With a new section called On Robustness and Fragility.
In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Talebshows in a playful way that Black swan events explain almost everything aboutour world.
A Black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yetcauses massive consequences
