The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters.
Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics. brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling'
Stephen J. confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot'
John Cornwell, Sunday Times '
Idiosyncratically brilliant'
Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph '
Great fun ...
I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person'
Will Self, Independent on Sunday '
He leaps like some superhero of the mind'
Boyd Tonkin, Independent '
Funny, quirky and thought-provoking ... '
Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ...
Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters
